Tuesday April 29, 2025 | VICTORIA, BC [Posted at 12 noon | Updated 4:30 pm]
by Mary P Brooke | Island Social Trends
Final results of the 45th General Election are not yet known. But the count is close. [Update at 4 pm – seat results are firm as 169 Liberal, 144 Conservative, 22 Bloc Quebecois, 7 NDP and 1 Green]
Late in the evening on Monday April 28 there were still special ballots and advance poll results to be tabulated.
“Due to the high turnout in this election, particularly by those voting by special ballot and at advance polls, more time is needed to count the ballots while ensuring our integrity checks are done,.” says Elections Canada on their webpage this morning.
“Counting in front of witnesses has resumed this morning, and we expect preliminary results for all ridings to be available today,” says Elections Canada.
Seat results so far:
Meanwhile, at the end of evening on April 28 the party standings (number of seats won) were the same as what we see next-day (today April 29) at 11:58 am PT with 99.41% of polls reporting:
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc Quebecois | NDP | Green | Total | |
| Leading | 169 | 144 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 343 |
| % of Votes | 43.6% | 41.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 100% |
Once all the special ballots and advance ballots are counted, there could be changed results. According to the CBC this morning, that could be as many as 14 ridings. So the results from last night are not final yet.
As of 9:30 am this morning, April 29, some of those ridings that could flip include:
- Kelowna – Liberals with 170-vote lead, but one more poll to be counted.
- Vancouver Kingsway – 300-vote lead for NDP incumbent Don Davies, but 3,500 in special ballots are still to be counted
- Cloverdale-Langley City – Conservative lead 923 ahead of the Liberals, with two special ballot boxes to be counted
- Pitt Meadows – Mark Dalton Liberal in the lead but with 8 polls still to come
- Port Moody – could be Liberal or Conservative
- Hamilton East – Conservative leading over Liberals but with at least 4,800 count to come
- Terra Nova – Liberals leading by only 46 votes over the Conservative, more ballots to come
- Shefford – BQ 651 lead ahea of the Liberals, with 1,800 special ballots to be counted
- Nunavut – NDP just 54 votes behind the Liberal candidate
Liberals claim victory:
To form a majority government a party requires 172 seats.
LIBERALS: With 168 seats won last night (updated to 169 today), Liberal Leader Mark Carney delivered a speech last night as a re-elected prime minister. He said he will lead the country in the interests of all Canadians. He seemed confident about moving forward with the task of dealing with the economic turmoil that lies ahead. He rode the waves of fear over how the United States intends to bombard if not destroy the Canadian economy. Clearly many Canadians feel Carney is the man with the right resume for that job. Carney increased the Liberal seats from 155 to 169.
CONSERVATIVES: With 144 seats, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to stay on as leader (despite losing in his own riding of Carleton). He seemed jubilant during his election night speech, as he realized the Conservatives had given the Liberals a good run in the election with the Conservative seat count now 25 seats higher than at the March 23 dissolution.
BLOC QUEBECOIS: With 23 seats won last night (revised to 22 today), the Bloc Québécois saw a diminished standing, down from 32 seats at dissolution. But together with the Conservatives the Bloc could still impose restrictions on the Liberal government with 144 plus 23 falling only one vote short of a tie with the Liberals 168; if also a Green vote, there would be a tie. Party leader Yves-François Blanchet already said today that the mission to have Quebec stand as an independent state continues.
NDP: The NDP have fallen from 24 seats at dissolution (25 elected in 2021) to now just seven. Their innate role of being the people’s counterpoint to corporate-style government was clearly overshadowed by the fear people had about Trump and believing that Carney was the right man for the job at the right time. Oddly, that belief about Carney’s right-time-resume is not only very likely true but also was the self-inflicted demise of the NDP by their own supporters. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh resigned during his election night speech, saying he will step down once a new NDP leader is chosen. He seemed relieved of burden.
GREENS: The Green Party is back to holding one seat — held by the tried and true Elizabeth May who last night was re-elected for the fifth time in Saanich-Gulf Islands. May was a co-leader for the 2025 campaign; co-leader Jonathan Pedneault did not win in his riding of Outrement. To many in federal politics May is a valued parliamentarian.
Vancouver Island tossed-salad profile:
On this morning after Election 2025 the federal political landscape of Vancouver Island looks a lot different than it has for 14 years. What had become an NDP stronghold since 2011 across six of seven ridings on the island, now has all four parties on the map:
- Liberal – VICTORIA (Will Greaves), ESQUIMALT-SAANICH-SOOKE (Stephanie McLean)
- Conservative – COWICHAN-MALAHAT-LANGFORD (Jeff Kibble), NANAIMO-LADYSMITH (Tamara Kronis), NORTH ISLAND-POWELL RIVER (Aaron Gunn)
- NDP – COURTENAY-ALBERNI (Gord Johns)
- GREEN – SAANICH-GULF ISLANDS (Elizabeth May)
Voter turnout:
Voter turnout in Election 2025 was 68.45%, with ballots cast by 19,524,923 of 28,525,638 registered electors (as of 11:58 am PT on April 29, 2025).
That tally does not include electors who registered on election day.
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